Andrey G Karlov’s – Russia’s ambassador to Turkey – killing in Ankara has sent shockwaves around the globe. What it worse is that the attack was carried out by a member of Turkey’s law enforcement agencies. This incident has been compared to the assassination of the Archduke Franz Ferdinand, which is widely believed to be one of the main flashpoints that led to World War 1. This is not a comparison anyone wanted to see, but it is there, and this will not bode well for Russian relations with Turkey, and there are bound to be consequences for Russian policy in Syria.

President Putin’s initial response however has been statesman-like. The world community is hoping that in a time of tragedy the two countries may heal by moving closer to each other as a direct consequence of this attack; cooperation has already been suggested in fighting terrorism. Yet, this may be a diplomatic gesture, and Russia’s long-term strategy may be less than forgiving, and the damages for Turkey more severe.

This was an attack from within, which reveals a chink in the armour of Turkey’s security agency as well as the problem of a confused social and religious identity. It is not surprising that extremist elements have crept into the rank and file of the security force, this trend has been seen elsewhere as well. Pakistan is already familiar with this – there is evidence to support the claims of extremism entrenched within the ranks of many law-enforcement and intelligence agencies within the country. Mumtaz Qadri’s attack on Salmaan Taseer is hard proof. While the Turkish military has been known for its secular outlook, the same cannot be said for the police. This may just be the natural conclusion of Erdogan’s Justice and Development party’s popular right wing politics, and may have indirectly caused the spectre of terrorism to come to life.

The US closed its own embassy in Turkey following the attack. Turkey’s ability to provide security to international diplomatic mission may not have fallen, but the belief in the country’s ability to do so is shaken.

The global war against terror was likely to have spillover effects like this, and more can unfortunately be expected. What matters is what comes after. Greater cooperation between the states is the ideal option, but not the most used one.