LAHORE In view of the current situation, political pundits foresee early election in the country while the PPP-led government is strictly overruling this probability. The political observers are basing their opinions on the progress and outcome of the Memogate scandal investigations. Pir Pagaro, the spiritual leader of the Hurr and close associate of powers that be, has stated the current month as very crucial and decisive for the stay of the government. The Nato attack on the Pakistani checkposts has grabbed attention of the nation at present but the memo scandal and the public resentment on their miserable plight are vital to determine early election and other events in near future. Yet the question is, how early elections are possible and whether anti-PPP parties are prepared to accept this challenge and devote themselves to the cause. Going by the technical side of the matter, the process of the computerised electoral rolls has to complete by March next and the Election Commission (EC) has to go in for 200,000 electronic election machines, training of the election staff etc. to carry out the job of election. The appointment of an 'impartial Chief Election Commissioner as per the scheme laid down under the 18th Amendment for this purpose, is another need which may take time. Last elections were held on February 8, 2008, and going by the constitution, they can be held 90 days earlier the due time which means by the start of November 2012, providing for the government to stay on by June/July, till after the national budget. PML-N, PTI and JI are the main parties against the government, but they lack a common platform to muster their strength. For the PTI, it is high time to reap the fruit of 15 years of struggle as its popularity graph is picking up gradually and many old and new politicians are lined up to join this party. In the mainstream politics, it has thrown gauntlet equally on ruling and the opposition parties through its slogan of 'change that has especially allured the youth after they have tasted the hardships during other parities rule. Senior leader of the PTI Hamid Khan said in an interview to this scribe that 30 million new voters and 37 million voters left out in the old electoral roles are main vote bank of this party and once enrolment is complete by March next his party will be able to contest the polls any time after that. The new PTI entrant, former foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi, while criticising the present government under Zardari and Gilani has more than once called for resorting to the public for fresh mandate saying that giving any more time to the government would be a high risk. However in view of the experts, the PTI leadership will need a lot of organisational and structural work to convert its young supporters into voters. While making mind, the voters also count merit and demerits of the local candidate. Imran Khan does have a charisma at the top but that could be sustained in election if he picks up candidates of known repute and intelligence who can speak heart of the masses, especially in rural constituencies. As such, early elections can pose a big challenge to the PTI, they opine. As for the PML-N, this party is up against President Asif Ali Zadari through a campaign in public and attacking the PPP on different issues through state institutions of parliament and courts as the party feels badly stung by Zardari on various occasions. On issue, the focus of the PML-N at present is the memogate scandal, which it has led to court understanding that presidency-linked actual characters of the matter are taking shelter behind Husain Haqqani and they would be exposed only through an impartial probe under judicial order. The N-league stand on the memo is that it directly matters security of civil, military and intelligence institutions as well as the nuclear assets of the country, reciprocates with the majority sentiments of Pakistanis. If this party gets the truth fathomed through the inquiry, it will not only be in a win-win situation but it will go a long way to stabilise its vote bank through improvement in its public image. For the purpose of election, the PML-N has still to complete its reorganisation work in at district level, besides naming the provincial heads and other office bearers. However, in the word of MNA Pervez Malik, it does not matter as working of the party at all tiers was going well to rise to occasion if the early elections are held. However, the party political strategy appears to mobiles public opinion against the ruling PPP on vital national issues to see downfall of the government as a natural corollary. As such this party has loosened the grip on its demand for early election as it feels acts and performance of the government will itself be sufficient to meet the end if they only bring out the facts before the public, say the observers. As for the JI, it has well structured system which can be put to operation on a short notice. The timely organisation from the level of teshil Nazim to the Ameer always keeps this party ready to meet any challenge. However, the JI mostly prefers to fight elections as partner in an alliance where its organisational structure delivers the best. Reports that JI may become an election partner of PTI do not hold much water at the moment. The experts say the need of the hour is that some party or alliance should get majority in the elections, whether these are held on time or before, as a hung parliament is not affordable anymore given the problems facing the country. And with that view, the parties need to frame their strategy for the next elections.