Memogate snakes and ladders

Mr Mansoor Ijaz just doesn't give up, does he? This time he's come out with an analysis on the news item he himself created in the first place - by a previous comment (or ambush disguised as an op-ed) in the Financial Times. In the inception-like quality that the Memogate has acquired, it's difficult to tell which dimension you are seeing its main characters in. Mr Ijaz, particularly, the shadowy figurewho appears to be orchestrating this circus, arrived first in the guise of a defender of Admiral Mullen's honour. His latest reinvention is as an analysis, analysing the very same Memogate scandal he helped create, which ultimately lost former Ambassador to Washington Mr Hussain Haqqani his job, after being accused of authoring the memo Mr Ijaz claims he was requested to deliver. Mr Ijaz, the tell-all, commenting on Memogate writes (this is where the story starts to get that watery, dream-like quality): "Fears of an alleged coup whipped through Islamabad in the tense days that followed Osama bin Laden's death in a Pakistani garrison town." This seems unrealistic, given possibly the lowest levels of morale in the army following the intense humiliation that was the discovery of Osama bin Laden and the raid that killed him. However, rumours have always existed, especially among those politicians considered to be close to the brass, that separate from the question of complicity or incompetence regarding the person of OBL, while the second question was just who knew about the raid beforehand? Mr Ijaz offers the following syrupy explanation: "In my opinion, with the benefit of facts that have come to my attention in the days since my FT column appeared, Zardari and Haqqani both knew the US was going to launch a stealth mission to eliminate Bin Laden that would violate Pakistan's sovereignty." While it has been vehemently professed, and indeed was apparent from the gobsmacked, utter paralysis that appeared to have the GHQ in its grip the next day, no one there had had a clue. If the GHQ had suspectedthat the go-ahead for the raid came from the highest circles of thegovernment - the fear of a coup would make a lot more sense as Mr Ijaz, the tell-all, professes. Here again, Mr Ijaz, the Analyst, throws aspanner in the works, "the basis of his request - an alleged coupplot - was only a concocted threat." Err, right then. So, what was the point? Let's try again, shall we. Take it away, Mr Ijaz, tell-all. "I write editorial pieces two or three times a year. I usually try to create.an anecdotal entry to.my policy prescription.that the ISI has got out of control.in order to get that right, in order to write in defence of Admiral Mullen's statements. I needed to give authenticity to the piece, so I used the memo as a mechanism of authenticity for the piece." So, Ijaz, the tell-all, decided to out the "secret" memo he was entrusted with, for its 'anecdotal value', after being incensed by absolutely predictable criticism Admiral Mullen was facing for his less than delicate remarks about the Haqqani Network's links to the ISI? Mr Ijaz, the Analyst, comments modestly on this development, thus, "thememorandum became the unintended focus of global media attention." So,he's surprised that a secret memo, from a nuclear armed State,requesting the only superpower in the world to prevent a militarycoup, while promising a complete transplant of the top militaryleadership received global media attention? I see. "I dislike the brinksmanship and heavy-handed role that Pakistan's military and intelligence organisations have played. I dislike even more feudal civilian cabals that feign love for democracy only toorchestrate their grandiose schemes on important security issuesthrough abuses of power that simply cannot be tolerated in an open society." In short, Mr Ijaz, the Analyst, is deeply, deeply troubled by the route the memo supposedly took, i.e. through him, i.e. Mansoor Ijaz, the tell-all. He is adamantly opposed to the very samecabal he agreed to be supposedly recruited by? And did he achieve theeffect he wished for? Is Admiral Mullen now upheld as the beacon of avuncular kindness and honesty that Mr Ijaz aimed for? "Pakistan is much stronger." Okay. It is difficult to offer any kind of empirically founded explanation for the theories Mr Mansoor Ijaz puts forward, as they often contradict themselves so starkly. However, the only thing that can be gleaned from his recent revelations as Mr Mansoor Ijaz, the Analyst, is that with Haqqani put away, he has now set his sights on assisting in relieving Mr Zardari of the presidency. If "Haqqani made just one critical mistake - seconding me (Mansoor Ijaz) into his scheme", Ijaz's decisive mistake may be to gun for the oneman whose canniness and luck has kept him on a winning streak for the past few years. Will Mr Zardari outsmart the slippery Mansoor Ijaz? Or will Memogate be the iceberg that sinks the unsinkable Mr Zardari? Email: rnizami@nawaiwaqt.com.pk

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