It would appear that the political turmoil in the country is not going to subside any time soon. In all likelihood, things will go from bad to worse. Here’s why: when a sizeable entity, such as the PTI, is deliberately attempting to create chaos in a bid to oust the sitting government, it becomes rather difficult to contain the situation. Imran Khan has made his plans more than clear. 30th November, that is the new deadline. The party is hoping to gather a large number of supporters in Islamabad for round two. Imran has already stated that he may not be able to ‘control’ his angry supporters this time, as if he has done a remarkable job till now. He is counting on them to raise hell, clash with the police and do everything they can to antagonize the government. Violence is in PTI’s interest, and it appears more than willing to lose a ‘few good men’ for the ‘greater good’.

There is also the issue of formation of a judicial commission to investigate rigging in the 2013 elections. Imran wants the commission to be formed before 30th November and seeks inclusion of officers from the ISI and MI in the investigation team. The government maintains that it has already written to the Supreme Court for this purpose and the ball is now in the judiciary’s court. Furthermore, it has clarified that the Constitution doesn’t allow it to include or remove anyone, be it the judges or members of the investigation team. The law supports the government’s position, the political situation doesn’t. It must pacify Imran as soon as possible. To make matters worse, it doesn’t appear in a hurry to do that. Government ministers can be seen on television screens puffing their chests out, chanting democracy will prevail. It won’t if they continue to claim victory in the middle of what is very much an ongoing contest, all the while offering nothing substantive to create a breakthrough.

Issuing of non-bailable arrest warrants for Imran, Tahir-ul-Qadri, Sheikh Rasheed and other aspiring revolutionaries may well be the icing on the cake. It’s a damned if you do, damned if you don’t scenario. Legally, there is no question over what course of action law enforcement agencies are supposed to take; follow court orders and make arrests. But of course, what is legally right can be politically wrong. While Qadri is away, and arrest warrants may compel him to stay away, Imran appears quite eager to be taken in custody. The government would love to oblige, but it understands that it will make matters worse. This is why the Police haven’t proceeded yet. So, we have the PTI unwilling to compromise and looking for blood, the government unable to reason with it or act reasonably itself, and a Supreme Court caught in a political battle, unsure about how to act or whether it should act at all.