Pakistan's strategic enigma

The US War On Terror has enveloped Pakistan from all sides. Besides other drastic implications, it has also caused a grave financial crisis in the country. Even America refused to bailout Islamabad and compelled her to accept the 'conditionalities' of the IMF where Washington has a greater influence. American high officials fear that Pakistan's deteriorating economy will further intensify the political turmoil and undermine its cooperation with the US, affecting the fight against terrorism in Afghanistan and tribal areas. On the other side, the US is increasing the multiple crises of our country through CIA-operated strikes on FATA, which have killed more than 200 people in the past four months. During the recent visit of the US Central Command Chief General David Petraeus, PM Gilani and COAS General Kayani warned him that it was "not possible to ask our people to support the War On Terror when our sovereignty is violated everyday." Just after the trip of General Petraeus, attacks by American drones have continued unabated. Meanwhile, CIA's Director, Michael Hayden has told a Washington think tank that in wake of US pressure on Al-Qaeda near Pakistan's border, "the region remains the biggest terrorism threat to the US." However, the main aim of the US by these sporadic strikes seems to antagonise the tribal people against the government and to expedite radicalism among the young men, turning them into suicide bombers, ultimately giving a greater blow to the security of Pakistan and its democratic government. The present strategic dilemma of Pakistan could be judged from the statement of PM Gilani who said in the Senate on November 12 that the biggest problem of the country was law and order and he "was ready to step down if anyone could come up with a solution to multifarious problems." Here the question arises: who have made Pakistan, a strategic enigma and what are their designs. The fact of the matter is that the US-led India and Afghanistan are destabilising Pakistan through their respective intelligence agencies for their common interests. With continued subversive acts this year, even our civil and military leadership have pointed out that foreign hands are involved in creating lawlessness in the country. In this connection, Asian Tribune Online indicated: "CIA and RAW developed their tentacles in Swat, Bajaur, Kurram Agency and Balochistan. Some of the pro-Pakistan groups had been purchased or neutralised." In fact, the Great Game of Central Asia has shifted to Pakistan, particularly focusing attention of major powers on the province of Balochistan which is replete with mineral resources. Owing to geo-strategic location, its Gwadar Deep Seaport with huge Chinese investment, transporting China's goods to the Afro-Asian countries, will also prove to be Pakistan's key junction, linking the rest of the world with the landlocked Central Asian states. Hence, the US intends to control Balochistan as an independent state in containing China and destabilising Iran. It is due to these reasons that America and India are creating instability in Pakistan by backing some separatists and providing them with all sorts of weapons. It is notable that in the last three years, a number of Chinese and Iranians were kidnapped and killed to weaken Pakistan's ties with China and Iran. However taking cognisance of all emerging realities, during the recent visit of President Zardari to Beijing, Pakistan and China on October 15 signed eleven agreements to enhance bilateral cooperation in diverse sectors. China also agreed to supply two nuclear reactors to Pakistan. Nevertheless, one can note two divergent forces in Pakistan, which has made it a strategic enigma - forces of instability led by the US and forces of stability led by the China. Washington is already devising a new strategy concerning the War On Terror. It must not be against Pakistan's strategy which is also under process as reflected in the 14-point resolution passed by our Parliament on October 22, especially calling for the restoration of peace in the tribal regions, following an independent foreign policy. If the President-elect Obama intends to secure American regional interests, he must abandon the aggressive approach towards FATA along with the US unilateral approach by preferring New Delhi over Islamabad; otherwise Pakistan's strategic enigma is likely to thwart the US global interests in face of the War. So any divergent 'strategy reviews' in both the countries could be reconciled for the mutual interest of the two allies. In this context, The Great Game could also be converted into Great Peace in Asia. The writer is a foreign affairs analyst E-mail: sajjad_logic@yahoo.com

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