The Asian Development Bank has said that weak preliminary results for some major crops were expected to limit any rebound in agriculture in FY2015. The lower prices will cause sugarcane output to fall, but increased rains should have benefited rice production, and they have. Pakistan will reap a bumper wheat crop this year and surplus the target, as harvesting continues in Sindh, where production is expected to exceed four million tonnes. The government increased procurement prices for wheat to cushion farmers from adverse prices and if the weather was favourable, perhaps bolster production. However, the problem goes deeper than just increasing prices for the farmers to soften the shock to them.

In Sindh, 54 percent of small farmers own less than five acres each and 40 percent of tenants cultivate plots of less than five acres each. This means that most farming in the province is just for subsistence. Unless there are profits there will be no growth. 76 percent of rural families in Sindh are landless and work as tenants on land owned by large landowners. Land ownership is concentrated in a few extended families. These families own large farms of 50-149 acres. The actual average farm size for these families, in terms of ownership and control, is estimated at between 3,000 and 10,000 acres.

Incomes are roughly proportional to the distribution of land, which is quite skewed. As such, any stimulus to the crop sector would help large landlords more than small farmers. In Pakistan, 34 percent of the rural population is engaged in the crop sector, and a vast majority of them are small landholders. This means that only a small proportion of population in the rural areas stands to gain from the government increasing crop prices.

In the case of the feudal system, tenants do not have the incentive to optimise production. Often, education for small holders and tenants, and lack of knowledge for absentee landlords keeps production constrained. Growth has always been unequally distributed, and this would be economically okay, if unequal land ownership did not impact growth.